Method
Daily Maximum Temperature in January
Physiological and growth processes reach their optimum in the region of 28-30°C air temperature and decline rapidly above 35°C. At 40-45°C these processes come to a halt and damage (e.g. bleaching, sunburn) can occur in exposed tissues.
The mean monthly day-time maximum temperature (Tmax) in mid-summer (January) was calculated from daily temperature data. More detail is provided in the section Background: Climate Change Modelling.
The modelling for the intermediate future (2050s) was conducted using five different CMIP3 GCMs (Schulze, 2011).
Maps
Map Information
Stellenbosch-Berg has a historical Tmax (January) of 26-28°C (Franschhoek), 28-30°C (Stellenbosch, Paarl, Riebeeck Kasteel) and 30-32°C (Wellington). Climate model projections for the intermediate future (mid-century) show a gradient of increases from around 2.05°C (Franschhoek) to 2.2°C, but possibly up to 2.4°C in the Riebeeck Kasteel area.